July 16, 2008

Help with finding cheap shares: Stock screener

Stock screeners are tools investors use to filter shares given certain criteria of their choice. This is Money has one: see our stock screener

For example, you could pick the banking sector and then enter certain criteria: Sharetipping1_100x110_2

- Only show me stocks with a price-earnings-ratio of less than 10 (the lower it is, the cheaper it is)
- Only show me stocks with a market capitalisation of more than £3,000m
- Only show me stocks with revenue of more than £100m
etc.

The stock screener replaces days worth of research with a few clicks.

However, treat figures with caution - it's only a guide. For example, price to earnings ratios look artificially low in the banking sector, for example, because profits are likely to be lower than estimates due to the effects of the credit crunch. And dividend yields (the opposite of p/e ratios) are mouth-wateringly and misleadingly high for the same reason.

Still, the tool serves as an excellent starting point.

Find out more about price-to-earnings ratios, yields, PEGs and much more in our Share School.

- This is Money

+++

> Share dealing: £12.50 flat fee
> All market data
> Share tips

July 14, 2008

New starters earn £45,000 at Aldi

Is it time for a career change in the economic downturn? Cut-price supermarkets chain Aldi could receive a rush of applications after boss Paul Foley revealed his graduate trainees enjoy a mouthwatering starting salary of £45,000.

After three years in the job, that rises to £57,750, with an all-expenses-paid top-of-therange Audi thrown in. That appears around twice the going rate at all other supermarkets.

According to the websites of the other major supermarkets, graduate trainees at Tesco, Sainsbury's, Asda, Waitrose and Marks & Spencer start on a salary of between £21,500 and £25,000.

Aldi's £45k starting salary would also trump a junior doctor (circa £30,000), trainee solicitors (£35,000) and even rookie investment bankers (also around £35,000).

- City Spy, Evening Standard

> How to get a pay rise
> A full list of salaries for UK jobs

June 17, 2008

Cyber-squatting: How to make money from registering company website names and URLs

Cyber-squatting seems to be back - and as a big business way of making money. Duncan McDonald, a postman from Cardiff, has apparently been running a lucrative sideline in his free time, holding businesses to ransom by buying up company names.

According to a report in the Sunday Times, he scans the internet for announcements about companies changing names or planning takeovers and then goes direct to the headquarters of Companies House, which is based in the Welsh capital, and claims the title for himself. It costs him £20 and then demands up to £100,000 to sell it to the firms.

The newspaper claims embarrassed businesses have tried to hush it up and that one lawyer McDonald has come into conflict with estimates he has earned a six-figure sum from his efforts.

His targets have included BP, Shell, Taylor Wimpey, DJ Chris Evans and Bob Geldof, through a subsidiary of his media company Ten Alps.

McDonald told the Sunday Times: 'I've done nothing to be ashamed of, but as far as I’m concerned it is ancient history now. Everything has been tightened up because people have realised what is going on. I'm not going into how much money I’ve made on it but, put it this way, I’m not a multi-millionaire.'

Cybersquatting is nothing new, becoming famous during the dotcom bubble of 1999-2000. 

One of the world’s most prolific buyers of celebrity domain names is a Canadian, Jeff Burgar, who has clashed with Tom Cruise, Pierce Brosnan and Kevin Spacey over websites incorporating their names, says the ST.

The practice often involves people purchasing domain names which then re-direct people surfing the internet to expensive pay-per-click advertising sites. David Beckham was a victim last year when he signed for LA Galaxy soccer club.

Within 90 minutes of the announcement being made, one cyber squatter in Milton Keynes had snapped up www.lagalaxy.org, www.lagalaxy.info and www.lagalaxy.co.uk. Meanwhile in the States www.davidbeckhamgalaxy.com, www.beckhamgalaxy.info and www.beckhamgalaxy.com were all bought up quickly.

As McDonald says, the opportunity to make money from selling URLs may be petering out but getting some quick pay-per-click advertising still seems to be paying off for some.

- This is Money

May 20, 2008

Don't hold you breath for the buy-to-let sell-off

Buy-to-let is a bubble about to burst. There’s no question about it - mortgage costs are rising, lenders are slashing their loan books and all those greedy landlords are about to get it in the neck.

This is the typical view of many outside the property world and quite a few with a good deal of insight into bricks and mortar  – but I’m not so sure.

Bubblebursting_4

The theory is that with house price falls starting to register, buy-to-letters will start selling up en masse, and one Britain’s most loved and hated get-rich quick bubble will go pop.

Too many landlords chased capital growth, is the bears’ theory. And when these misguided hopefuls can no longer justify subsidising tenants in a property falling in value, with mortgage costs going through the roof, they will jump ship.

Of course, buy-to-let’s cheerleaders dispute this in the strongest possible terms. Buy-to-let is in rude health, they claim, and landlords will see falling prices as a buying opportunity.

There is however, another side to the story. And that says both the bears and the bulls have their points, but the great buy-to-let sell off may not arrive. Buy-to-let is facing its first serious bout of tough times, but amateur landlords might be more resilient than people think. And there’s a big reason why – pensions.

A number of favourable factors are credited with helping buy-to-let take off since its conception more than a decade ago - low interest rates, lenders exploiting a new market and a decade-long house price boom. But one factor that is often overlooked is the public’s complete lack of faith in the financial services industry and the Government.

‘My property is my pension’ is an overused phrase and a philosophy that has distorted the UK’s housing market. However, people didn’t arrive at this conclusion without having already lost all retirement hope elsewhere.

Endowments, pension scheme collapses and poor investment management have created a culture where the public doesn’t trust the experts with its cash. This mistrust is so deep, that people don’t even have much faith in the bank anymore - witness the rush on Northern Rock, despite assurances deposits were safe.

Rightly or wrongly, many only trust themselves when it comes to investing, and the buy-to-let boom created the perfect vehicle for the paranoid investor. A property is a tangible asset – you can walk around it, improve it, decide who manages it and even decide who lives in it.

If you have made a substantial return on your investment over recent years - as many buy-to-let landlords have - common sense says prepare to sell now. The property market has peaked, favourable capital gains tax changes arrived in April and refinancing properties has become a lot more expensive, as the average loan tops 6% and arrangement fees run into thousands.
However, while those who bought recently, or opted for new build flats, may find continuing with their investment unsustainable, many others will not.

If you bought a flat that cost £120,000 five years ago and it is now worth £180,000 you won’t have problems with loan-to-value, your rent will comfortably cover the mortgage and a 10% drop in prices doesn’t sound too worrying.

What else will deliver ₤150 per month on top of the mortgage cost into your bank account. And where do you put your ₤60,000 capital gain, if you don’t trust the professionals?

Even those barely breaking even or losing money may take some time to jump ship. As a paranoid investor, where do you put your money instead? That ₤100 per month subsidising tenants would only go into a pension you mistrust instead. The British home-owning psyche says there will be a lot of people out who will continue to put money in, even as prices dip, on the basis that in 25 years time that property will be worth more.

At the moment smart money is piling into commodities and emerging markets, but the man on the street will take some convincing to swap bricks and mortar for wheat, gas or Korea.

The easy credit that fuelled the buy-to-let boom is gone, house prices have peaked and property sentiment has shifted. Without the flood of new entrants, the buy-to-let market is running out of steam fast as new blood is essential to any market. But don’t hold your breath waiting for the big sell-off – it may not arrive as fast as predicted.

- Simon Lambert, This is Money

Useful links:

>> Will there be a house price crash?

>> The latest mortgages and property news and advice

April 24, 2008

ITV1: Britain's Rich List Give It Away

ITV claims to be giving us a peak of this year’s publication of The Sunday Times Rich List, tonight with Britain’s Rich List Give It Away (ITV1 9.00pm). It will apparently 'exclusively reveal' the riches of some of the wealthiest individuals in Britain.

As well as a rundown of the wealthiest celebs, the highest earning rock stars and the mega rich self-made entrepreneurs, this year's sneak preview of the famous list has an added twist as Britain’s super rich are asked if they are giving away as much as they should.

Aided by Dr Philip Beresford, who has worked on the authoritative Sunday Times guide for 20 years, the programme counts down the bank balances of some of the UK’s most intriguing celebrities, from the guaranteed wealth of the Royal Family to individuals from the worlds of pop music, publishing and business.

While the key results will apparently remain a closely guarded secret the show will exclusively reveal some of the winners…and losers:

Going up

- David Beckham is raking in the cash in Los Angeles. He and his wife Victoria are up three places with a fortune of £125 million.
- Outstripping more famous businessmen is the man who owns ICAP, the world’s largest inter-dealer money broker. Michael Spencer’s leapt up 26 places to number 62 this year. He’s now officially a billionaire, with £1.15 billion.
- Andrew Lloyd Webber’s £750 million fortune has clinched him number 101= this year while fellow music mogul Simon Cowell sits at number 717= on the list.
- Sir Paul McCartney has won something this year - he’s top of the rockers list yet again with his £500 million fortune. The Sunday Times Rich List believes that McCartney is £100 million richer than was suggested in his recent divorce hearing because the court estimates of his wealth didn't appear to take account of the proceeds of Linda McCartney's will and undervalued his back catalogue of songs, image rights and recordings.
- By far the richest female rock star is the Goddess of Pop herself - Madonna. This year she and husband Guy Ritchie are worth £300 million, which makes them 270= on the Rich List.

Going down

- Maybe Sir Richard Branson should have pushed for Northern Rock - he’s down nine places but still sitting pretty on a £2.7 billion fortune.
- easyJet founder Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou has slipped down to 94=, but he's still got a massive £812m to play with.
- Heading up the creatively wealthy is JK Rowling. The seventh and final Harry Potter book had its usual impact and increased her fortune to £560 million, but she’s still fallen back a few places to number 144. 

Presented by entrepreneur and fitness club supremo Duncan Bannatyne (who’s on the Rich List himself with a £310million fortune), Britain’s Rich List also shows how:

- Britain’s super rich are getting richer: you now have to have a cool £80 million to even make the list of 1,000 (£70 million in 2007).
- There are seven more billionaires on the list this year, taking the total to 75.
Sex is relevant.
- There's a disappointing total of 96 women among Britain’s Richest 1,000.

If you want to join the super-rich. Don't miss...

How to invest like the world's best investor: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/invest-like-warren-buffett

Britain's best paid jobs: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/best-paid-jobs

How to get rich: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/makemoney

March 01, 2008

30 ways to save and make time and money

This_is_not_workIf you don't have time to worry about money and paperwork and other aspects of day-to-day life because you're... um... normal, we have created This is Not Work, a daily light-hearted but deadly serious tip-sheet of stuff you can easily take care of in your lunch hour; things you should know and things you might like to know. There are no ads and no time-wasters. It is primarily aimed at parents who work but everyone is welcome. Here's a round up of some of the tips featured since we launched.

Where to find the cheapest cars online
Half-price Sonic toothbrushes
Half-price meals at decent restaurants

The best Isas for 2008
How to be the world's richest parent
How to make a paper CD case

How to fight parking tickets
£189 flights to New York
Robot vacuum cleaner for £38

Where to get the best broadband
Time-saving tips from a top parent
Be my Valentine with cheap roses

Center Parcs for half price
Get your own back on your bank: reclaim the insurance you may not know you have
20 reasons to avoid British Gas

How to make your child a millionaire
Part 1 0-£40,025
Part 2 £40k-£500k
Part 3 £500k-£1m

Best all-round printer
Ryanair's 1p vs SAS £39, the true cost
Refunds: Claim £4 for delayed Tube journeys

Sort out your finances in eight steps

Part 1 - the will
Part 2 - the credit card debt
Part 3 - the life insurance
Part 4 - the company pension
Part 5 - the house
Part 6 - the emergency savings
Part 7 - the get rich slow plan
Part 8 - the fee-based adviser

And finally

The table football table for £16 that normally costs about £80 that you really don't need but if you did want one then this is worth checking out

>> Newsletter: Get more of these in your inbox

February 27, 2008

A 37% return from a Latin American stock market boom

Ay caramba! as they say in Tijuana (and Springfield).Bartaycaramba_203x150_2

My punt on Latin America paid off last year. The Invesco Perpetual Latin American fund - my only investment last year - returned 37% in 2007.

So why the boom? South Americans have been flogging their copious reserves of copper, zinc and the like to the highly industrious Chinese who, in turn, have kept the world economy afloat. It is also enjoying a rare period of politicial stability and genuine economic reform.

That's part of the story - demographics are important for me on investment decisions - and Latin America has some interesting stories: Mexico has a youngish population and lots of women entering employment; Chile has one of the best funded pension syMexican2_203x150_3stems in the world - one of Pinochet's better legacies - and the prospect of a generation of pensioners awash with cash.

Respected fund picker John Chatfield-Roberts helped confirm my choice last February. I'll be catching up with him before making any decisions on this year's Isa (and reporting on this blog what he says).

My gut instinct at the moment is to continue to avoid Western economies which I think face a slow-burn bust and staying with First State Asia Pacific and Jupiter Emerging European Opportunities, and probably topping up a little more on the jaguar economies of South America. It's a high-risk strategy.

You can find the best advice on picking the right investments here:
>> How to pick the best Isa

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, thisismoney.co.uk

> My Far East child trust fund selections
> A 40% return on a child trust fund
> My 59% return in a year

                     Invesco Perpetual Latin American returns Source: Morningstar

Latin_american_7

January 31, 2008

Derren Brown: The System. Can you really guarantee a horse-racing win?

Derren Brown has a system for winning at the horses. In this one-hour special, the maestro of mind control anonymously tells a single mum from London which horse will win at the next day's races - again and again - culminating in a final, massive bet."

That's the blurb from Channel 4 on Friday's show. You can actually watch a video of the programme here - Derren Brown: The System

And the bullish blurb goes on...Derrenbrown_203x150_2

"Investigating the psychology behind gambling and using his unique combination of skills to create guaranteed wins, Derren proves his system works every time. Not only that, but he explains it fully to us at home. But how fool-proof is this system and will his participant, believing in him and his predictions, risk her life-savings on one more race?

"As Derren reveals: 'I took a member of the public and I told her which horse would win in a certain race; when it did win she was intrigued and I did it again and again and she started to bet more and more money according to my system. She's scraped together every last penny she could find and she is risking it all on one final race. Is it really possible to predict every time which horse will win? Welcome to The System.' "

So can you win at gambling. We think not. We've tried to convince people - tens of thousands of gamblers have read our story: 'You'll never beat the robots' - but, hey, make your own mind up on friday night (or now on the link above) and then join the debate (we only need your name and email for comments to be published)...

January 21, 2008

Sort your life out in your lunchbreak

If this here internet fad is getting you down because of the sheer amount of second-rate and down-right irresponsible information and advice from time-wasters, scammers, spammers, self-appointed experts, money-grabbers, marketeers, spin doctors and, oh, the list is as big as the internet itself... fear not because today we have launched the This is Not Work blog. This_is_not_work_coffee_cups

It's primarily aimed at working parents but anyone who never seems to have the time to sort out the paperwork or who just wants a better deal is equally as welcome.

It will feature one quick tip a day to help you get your life and your finances back on track.

And if you miss a day simply click on the calendar and... sort your life out in your lunchbreak.

It's not work.

Richard Browning

Now go here...

>> This is Not Work

>> About This is Not Work

December 12, 2007

Sex, population and the predicted share crash of 2008

In 2002, I wrote in the London Evening Standard, This is Money's sister title, about an appealing theory that claimed to accurately predict the future for the stock market. The prediction? US shares would race higher before beginning a decade-long slump in 2008. UK shares would be close behind...

'Investors should brace themselves for one of the most powerful rallies the UK has ever seen before the stock market falls into a Japan-style recession that could last for a decade or more.  A slide in London house prices, starting from about 2008, is expected to be the first sign that the good times are over in the UK before the economy - and share prices - languish until at least 2022.

'The theory goes that a tidal wave of babies born after the Second World War is reaching the optimal spending age of 46 - couples begin to spend more because their children fly the nest. In marketing circles, it is known as the Harley-Davidson effect: the biggest buyers of the bikes are men in their fifties. This spending drives the economy and, therefore, stock markets.'

London Evening Standard, 8 March 2002

So crudely, the theory is based on sex. More accurately, it relies on demographics to forecast changes in the  economy and share prices.  

Harry S. Dent, leading cheerleader of the theory in the US, used demographic charts to predict the Nineties shares boom with startling accuracy. This explanation and chart sets out his theory.Harleydavidson2_203x150_5

He was also able to correlate Japan's ageing population with a bear market for the Nikkei shares index from 1990 to 2004/05.

He then pored over his graphs and predicted an unprecedented shares boom for the US and other western economies - he wrote a book called The Roaring 2000s.

When I wrote the Evening Standard article in 2002, the theory was falling down. Shares had, in fact, slumped, post-dotcom boom. However, it turned out to be a temporary correction and share prices have since risen rapidly, although nowhere near as spectacularly as Dent predicted (in the Nineties, he set a 30,000-point target for the Dow - its current level is around 13,500 points).

But the underlying trends were right, with the longest sustained growth in economies both sides of the Atlantic.

The theory has a bigger fan-base in the US. But there are also some British demo-zealots - Alan Steel, an Edinburgh-based financial adviser and demographic hobbyist, still avidly follows Dent's updates. He suggested I point out to readers the Office of National Statistics graph on demographic structure (2006), which perfectly illustrates the baby boom in the UK which first came after the war but then came through in a much stronger wave in the 1960s. By far the larger baby boom was in the Sixties (pictured).

Uk_population_3The demographics orginally suggested the rot would begin in the US in 2008 and a few years after in the UK (the difference is down to GIs returning quicker than British troops who were stationed longer after the war in Europe). So we should expect a few more years of sparkling gains before the slump, which, the charts say, will last beyond 2020.

The most recent Dent update in 2006, however, put back the decline to 2009 'when oil prices hit $100'. Note: the price of crude was a whisker away from $100 a barrel last month.

So should we trust the theory? Should we follow the advice and ditch our general holdings to buy shares in health and pension companies (that will benefit from the ageing population), and funds that invest in emerging markets with young populations, such as Latin America? Should we all buy bungalows in Bexhill?

Bungalowbysea_203x150_3 My previous attempts to prise a new UK assessment from Dent have been fruitless. The organisation is entirely US-focused. I'll be trying again in coming weeks. I'll also talk to experts about the impact of globalisation and immigration on the theory - especially given the recent influx of more than a million people to British shores.

And in my next blog post, I'll also give details of a worrying indicator that accurately predicts house price crashes: it's flashing red for the UK and 2008.

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, This is Money

>> Financial predictions for 2008

>> FTSE 100 'could fall 1,200 points in 2008'

October 26, 2007

Ski posters - alternative investing I can (almost) afford

Sadly, I’ve not been able to afford one, but in recent years one of the most affordable but quietly successful forms of stylish art has been vintage ski posters.

The distinctive prints produced during the golden days of travel have become hugely popular and some have delivered returns of 1000% over the past ten years.

For those hoping to buy, the big event of the year has traditionally been Christies’ annual ski poster sale, but now poster afficionado and London lawyer Russell Johnston has set up the first online gallery exclusively selling vintage ski posters online.

Russell contacted me about his East Street Gallery after reading one of my previous posts about the Christies’ sale. And his website www.originalskiposters.com is worth visiting for a look at the posters on offer.

Ski_posters_2

The historic posters originally produced for the walls of travel agents and station platforms can now fetch thousands of pounds, although many can still be purchased for £500 or less.

Now if I was going to buy an alternative investment, I think this is where I’d start.

Alternative investing is one of those things that sounds great in theory but rarely delivers the goods in practice. Who wouldn’t want to indulge a passion for wine, art, classic cars or racing while seeing their wealth grow (hopefully)?

Unfortunately, for the common man alternative investing rarely means being able to enjoy your indulgence and taking the plunge is a bit daunting.

For a start there’s a reason why alternative investments are alternative – they’re expensive.

• Want to invest in art – what’s good and at that price do you dare put it on the wall?
• Fancy investing in wine – forget drinking it.
• Classic cars – no point owning one if you don’t drive it, but then come the maintenance costs.
• Racehorses – an investment that needs feeding and housing; are your kids not enough?

And this is where the problem lies. If you’re going to get involved in an alternative investment you need to be able to enjoy it, and that’s hard if you aren’t seriously wealthy.

Pig

If you aren’t going to enjoy it, but want to be a bit different, just put your money in a fund that invests in something like pork. (Pigs are a good tip, believe it or not China has a shortage.)

However, if you like the mountains then ski posters represent an affordable art investment that can be enjoyed and indulged as a hobby.

Russell’s collection was begun by his father Robert, who was a skier in the British Army during the Second World War and built up the bulk of it as he travelled Europe between 1944 and 1955. Russell himself was bitten by the bug in the 1990s and the first poster he bought in 1996 is now worth £1,600.

His favourites are those by Martin Peikert, who exclusively produced Swiss posters and Russell harbours an ambition to perhaps one day write the first biography of. Like me, he also likes the stylised industrial look of some of the French posters glorifying cable cars and railways.

Russell says: ‘On a ten-year view the kind of poster you could buy then for about £500 is now worth £5,000 to £8,000. Prices now, as with many things, are at an all time high so those rises may not continue, if you want a poster you should buy it because you love it and if it goes up in price that’s brilliant.’

And there’s the key. If you like the images you could just buy a reproduction for a fraction of the cost, but buy a real poster and it may go up in price.

However, don’t forget prices can go down as well as up, and what people call ‘alternative investing’ during the good times tends to just be labelled a hobby when the money disappears.

- Simon Lambert, This is Money

Useful links:

www.originalskiposters.com

The latest investing news and advice

Special report: Alternative investing

Soaring food prices can be your cash crop

July 19, 2007

Noel Edmonds - genius, businessman, Austin Metro fan

So fate has yet again dealt Noel Edmonds a duff hand. Love him or hate him, Noel is an icon of the modern times. He is a man who has starred in more comebacks than a 70s rock group and he is always guaranteed to be not very far from some form of bonkers idea.

A brief round-up of Noelism includes:

This time he appears to have been laid low by a failed business venture involving a helicopter that finance firm Lombard alledges he hasn't paid for.
In true Noel style he told the FT: 'I am going to go through severe financial pain, but it is a matter of principle for me,'

It is this oddness and point blank refusal to let life grind him down that explains the British public's fascination with him - the story about Noel was This is Money's most popular on the day it broke.

So in tribute, here is one of Noel's lesser seen moments, where he displays the optimism, refusal to bow to cold hard reality and slightly bonkers attitude we know and love - he advertises Austin Rovers in the 1980s.

In a stroke of genius the best things Noel and the ad men seem to have come up with about the Austin Metro is that it has a bonnet, five doors, heaters and indicators. And if you think that's scraping the barrel wait until we get to the Austin Maestro and Austin Montego.

Jeremy Clarkson it isn't, but Noel, I salute you

- Simon Lambert, This is Money

Useful links:

Help and advice for small businesses

May 25, 2007

Child trust funds: An update on my selections

I have backed three different funds on my son's behalf via his child trust fund.

He's only two but I'm keen to plan ahead - he'll be keeping me in the lap of luxury in my dotage.

I was chuffed in the first year when the Witan Pacific fund delivered a 43% return and the F&C investment trust soared 38%.

This year's been less impressive. The F&C fund delivered a 9% profit in the year to April. A technical change on the Far East fund meant I was forced to sell and reinvest, so I opted for the Pacific Assets Trust, alas it only managed an 18% rise (compared with 43% the year before) and the F&C Global Smaller Companies fund which achieved a meagre 9% gain (51% the year before).

...Hang on, just listen to me. I'm moaning about an annual return of 18%. It's a pure reflection of how I, and many other investors, have become blase about the stock market's recent success. The UK's stock market's recent history ranks among its best years, with the FTSE 100 powering from 3250-ish points at the low in March 2003 (when US bombs began falling on Baghdad) to more than 6500 points today. Wise investors, including me, should stop taking that for granted.

To find out why I picked these funds, see my older posts...

> Child trust funds: where I invested mine
> A 40% return on a child trust fund

And don't miss this brilliant CTF guide - How to pick the best child trust fund

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, This is Money

April 24, 2007

For sale: Scout hut £250,000-plus

For sale:

A bijoux property, with a wealth of period features retained by owners to create a leading example of shabby chic.

Brondesbury_scout_hut

Situated in a prime location in leafy Brondesbury, this semi-detached home has an authentic brick, broken glass and timber board facade and an open-plan living space ideal for growing families.
The property has benefitted from the latest in de-landscaped gardening over recent years with the current owner including the distressed ornaments surrounding the building in the sale.

Ideal for imaginative owners looking to renovate or expand.
Priced to sell: £250,000-plus.

It's an easy joke right? You know the one: write a humourous mock estate agent's blurb for rundown building for sale; whack a crazy price on the end to make the gag obvious; Bob's your uncle.
The difference here is that the price isn't a joke.

This dilapidated former scout hut, just off the Kilburn High Road, really is for sale at auction with a guide price of £250,000-plus and, despite not even benefitting from a fancy estate agent's blurb, it is almost guaranteed to go for substantially more.

In the crazy world of property in London and the South East - which resembles less of a housing market and more of a housing feeding frenzy - a rundown scout hut in Kilburn will cost you more than a quarter of a million pounds.

It's true, this scout hut is probably not likely to be a scout hut for long after its sale. Its potential value is in the land it sits on, so there probably isn't too much bob-a-jobbing going on in Kilburn as local scouts try and raise the purchase price. The new owners will knock it down and build a house and the auctioneers McHugh & Co. highlight that option. They explain that a scheme has been prepared for a new four-bedroom house and feature a small illustrative drawing. A house on this road would set you back at least £600,000.

Etch_a_sketch_house

Scout_hut_new_home_drawing_2

However, This is Money's resident property bear Richard Browning has pointed out planning permission hasn't even been applied for, let alone granted, and this drawing is less of a plan and more of an Etch-A-Sketch.

He was slightly suprised to discover that his suggestion of a price of around £90,000 - 'in this insane market' - was considerably below the auctioneers' suggested £250,000-plus.
But what does he know?

After all, he's just an observer to the madness. Surely, all those people buying houses in London and the South East only to knock them down and build another must know what they're doing. Well, they probably do, and with support from their healthy profits already banked from the property market over the past ten years, or their hundreds of thousands in City bonuses, they will probably turn another nice profit on their latest investments.

But a market in which rundown former scout huts in Kilburn are on sale for more than a quarter of a million is surely not sustainable.

Especially when the agents don't even need to gloss it up and the owners don't even bother to pick up the rubbish outside.

- Simon Lambert, This is Money

Useful links:

Join the Scouts - it's their centenary year

Draw your own home with online Etch A Sketch

Dan Atkinson: Don't join the househunt madness

Mortgages and property news, tips and advice

March 05, 2007

Sell Standard Life shares: Egg on Face?

Last summer, I told my dad he should sell his Standard Life shares.

Since then they have risen around 18%. They soared from around 240p up to a peak of 319.5p last week before the global stock market shake-out took them back down to 284p today.

There has inevitably been some rather gleeful squeals of delight in the comments on my original blog: Dad, sell your Standard Life shares...

"As Standard Life shares are performing better than the market and the average fund manager performs worse, it is indeed fortunate that parents never listen to their kids."

"It's very ironic if this blog is one of the top 20 for 2006, because following its advice would have proved very costly. (Hope you bought your Dad a very big & expensive Christmas present to say 'sorry')"

I'm the first to put my hand up when I've got it wrong. And yes, on the face of it, it doesn't look good. But bear with me while I restate my argument.

I never claimed to have some inside track on how Standard Life shares would perform. My point was that the majority of people receiving shares only take a passing interest in the stock market and individual shares - my dad included - and that they didn't have the interest/time to keep a close eye and make an informed decision. Standardlife

Shares are volatile (as if you need reminding follow the roller coaster of recent weeks). So my advice to the majority of 1.5m not experienced in share trading was to sell the Standard Life shares and put the money into a fund. Unit trusts, Oeics and investment trusts will invest your money in anything from 30 to 400 shares, spreading (and reducing) the risk.

My original blog urged readers to check out fund tips that we'd gathered from independent financial advisers. One of the recommendations was the Jupiter Emerging European Opportunities, a fund in which I invest. It has powered ahead more than 20% since last summer. The other funds tipped have all had decent performance - and taking far lower risks than holding a single stock.

So the moral of the story involves eggs, but not on my face... when investing, don't put all your eggs in one basket.

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, This is Money

>> This is Money's share school - www.thisismoney.co.uk/shareschool

>> This is Money's latest fund tips - www.thisismoney.co.uk/fundtips

>> All This is Money's news and advice about Standard Life shares - www.thisismoney.co.uk/standardlife

February 23, 2007

Standard Life: with-profits misery

February 23 2007

Standard Life, once top of the pile of with-profits providers, has sunk disastrously over the years. The price of past mismanagement is now horribly plain.

Here's a sample of 2007 payouts from Standard's big rivals - and Liverpool Victoria, whose returns are best of all:

Provider                      Payout

Liverpool Victoria          £63,905

Prudential                    £49,492

Norwich Union              £47,904

Standard Life               £38,054

Endowment payouts based on contributions of £50 per month over 25 years, maturing 2007. Figures provided by Liverpool Victoria, February 22 2007.

How can such a gap have opened up - particularly when, within recent memory, Standard Life was viewed as one of the best with-profits companies?

The answer lies in the devastating consequence of Standard Life's massive exposure to the stock market during 2000-2003, when share values plunged.

Iain_lumsden Sure, during that period other companies, including Liverpool Victoria, also had exposure to equities and so lost money, too.

But those other companies stuck with the stock market and so have bounced back magnificently since.

Standard's bosses, on the other hand, led by the insurer's disgraced former chief executive Iain Lumsden, left, were gambling on the markets with money they could ill afford to lose. When share prices really hit rock bottom, Standard was forced to sell its shareholdings - the bosses had effectively bust the bank - and it hasn't participated in the recovery sinceNo_slife_use_this_1. It's a terrible tale of bungled and reckless management, for which policyholders are patently paying - years later.

I suppose the slender consolation - for which Lumsden and the other architects of the mess can claim no credit - is the fact that Standard's shares have performed nicely since the company was floated last summer. That, at least for the policyholders who kept their shares when the company demutualised, is some good news....

- Richard Dyson

February 07, 2007

The Russian share boom - which country is next?

Nearly five years ago, one of the City's new fund management stars told me this: 'Russia will be the one of the stock market winners over the next five years', or words to that effect.Moscowcathedral_100x110

That was the summer of 2002. Here are annual returns from the Russian stock market (in dollar terms)...
2002 - 38%
2003 - 58%
2004 - 4%
2005 - 83%
2006 - 71%

Tables for the top performing funds for British investors also reflect the boom - two of the top five unit trusts/Oeics over five years are those that invest in Russia and Eastern Europe - JP Morgan New Europe (+275%) and Credit Suisse European Frontiers (+ 271%). The top performer last year was Neptune Russia, returning 51.6% and Jupiter's Emerging European Opportunities fund, of which I am an investor, has had a terrfic run returning 189% in three years.

It's the same for investment trusts: JP Morgan Russian Securities (+459%) and the Eastern European Trust (+378%).

So who was this star manager?

John Chatfield-Roberts (pictured), who runs a handful of funds of funds for Jupiter. He doesn't need to worry about picking winning shares, but has to guess markets correctly and pick the right funds, reducing risk (and potential returns) by spreading investors' money around the world. His Jupiter Merlin fund has returned 82% over five years compared with an average 44% for the sector.Jcr

So where is he investing now?

Well, I get the feeling JCR is lacking confidence to make such a definitive call on the market again but these are his key thoughts on emerging markets...

>> 'There's been extreme growth in China - the three or four months have been phenomenal for the Chinese stock market. I think economic growth will continue but if I were committing new money, I would wait for a better entry point.' (His funds hold: First State Asia Pacific Leaders; Jupiter China)
>> 'Brazil is interesting. Some companies are growing at 15/20% a year but are generally cheaper than Russian shares. Interest rates are high - if they fall then it could help the economy and the stock market. I have 6% invested in Latin America at the moment - that's going up.' (His funds invest in Findlay Park Latin American fund)
>> 'We looked at India and thought it looked too expensive.'

As ever, remember that achieving high returns means taking high risks. Note thaRussiat JCR only invested a proportion of his funds in Eastern Europe despite his bullish stance. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, This is Money

- Click on the graph right (from a report by Moscow's http://www.cefir.ru ) to see the ups and ups of Russian shares.

Useful links

>> Story reporting JCR's move into Eastern Europe (July 2002)

>> Special report: Risky Russia? (November 2006)

>> Neptune Russia is top fund of 2006 (December 2006)

>> Bank the emerging market gains (November 2006)

>> JCR's website and book - www.fundology.co.uk

January 16, 2007

Affordable art - the Christies ski poster sale

There are two schools of thought when it comes to buying art – you either display it with pride, or squirrel it away, protecting your investment behind closed doors.

The latter option always seems a shame, but for me, as with many people, it’s not really a problem – art is generally beyond my means.

Ski_poster

But at auction house Christies, on Thursday, there is a sale of iconic images, which may prove to be a decent investment, at prices that would allow you to hang them on your wall.

At lunchtime today I cycled down to the South Kensington auctioneers, to have a look at the classic ski posters that go under the hammer this week, in the tenth annual Ski Sale, with prices ranging from a couple of hundred pounds to a few thousand.

Many of them date from the 1920s and 1930s – the golden era of the ski poster – when resorts, the railways and tourist boards across Europe commissioned artists to create adverts for the first wave of mass ski tourism. Posters of this style continued to be produced until the 1950s/60s.

Now I’m biased, because I love these vintage posters and the mountains, but if you fancy buying some art that might appreciate in value this auction seems great.

Unfortunately, the posters, printed from the original lithographs, are beyond my price range at the moment, but for people with a bit of cash to spend this is affordable art.

Roger_broders_ski_poster

Nicolette Tomkinson, Christie’s vintage poster specialist and the head of sale, tells me buyers tend to be those with a passion for skiing, who are looking for art for their home, or a ski holiday chalet or apartment. It’s a specialised field but the auction is one of Christies’ most popular and the value of the posters has risen in recent years.

Nicolette says: ‘We would always recommend people buy something because they love the image or are passionate about the place advertised rather than as an investment, but hopefully they will also be a good investment.’

Her favourites are designed by Roger Broders, the grandmaster of the travel poster, (see picture on the left) and the biggest public demand is for those that feature iconic resorts such as Chamonix.

Sadly, I’ll have to skip the auction until my bank balance is a bit healthier. But here’s a moneysaving tip if, like me, you can’t stretch that far – reproductions are available and can be bought online at sites such as allposters.co.uk

Affordable art indeed

- Simon Lambert, This is Money

Useful Links:

Is wine a corking investment?

Art draws the big money

January 15, 2007

Child trust funds: Where I invested mine

A quarter of parents have failed to invest child trust fund vouchers for their children in the past year. So the Government has this week launched a big push to remind them of the benefits. Kategerbeau_cropped_l

Channel Five's Kate Gerbeau (pictured top) was kind enough to invite me on to her 11.30 news programme today to talk about child trust funds and how to pick the best one.

I was also alongside Sheree Murphy (pictured below with her children), she of Emmerdale and 'I'm a Celebrity...' fame and also married to footballer Harry Kewell, who is being paraded by Revenue & Customs (who run CTFs) in Child Trust FuSheree_murphy_with_children_ruby_taylor_nd week.

Sheree grew up in an inner London council house and is keen to promote the benefit of CTFs to poorer families.

Here's the basics on child trust funds...

>> You have three choices:
- A savings account
- A 'stakeholder' account. Charges are limited to 1.5% a year and money is invested mainly in shares-based funds with a little bit in 'safer' investments such as bonds. More money is moved into the safer elements towards the end of the 18 years (it works similarly to a pension)
- A shares account. This is not a stakeholder so will probably have higher minimum investment levels but may have lower charges (especially on investment trusts). It's riskier than the other options as you may be able to pick more adventurous funds that deliver higher (or lower) returns.

>> What I did:
I have a son, aged two-and-a-half years old. Shares have beaten savings accounts over every 18-year period in the past four decades. In fact, you'd struggle to find any 18-year spell when deposit accounts came out on top. Past performance is only a guide (albeit a pretty good one) so I took the plunge and invested in two funds via F&C - the F&C Investment Trust and the Witan Pacfic trust.

The F&C Investemnt Trust spreads your money in shares around the world (but mainly in the UK) and has very low charges because it is so large. More on F&C Investment Trust.

I then wanted to spice up the portfolio. I believe stock markets of western economies may suffer in the next decade while tiger economies and the developing world step up the pace (read more on my view here and here).

The F&C trust has returned 52% over three years, with 21% of it coming in the past year (figures to November 2006). Witan Pacific has returned 52% over three years but only 4% last year (which was a mixed year for Far East markets).

Due to a change in management at Witan Pacific, it can no longer be held in a CTF so I was forced to sell and reinvest in other F&C funds. I opted for the Pacfic Assets trust and the F&C Global Smaller Companies trust, both of which have strong past performance.

>> What you should do:
I am happy to take on risk and monitor my CTFs every couple of months. For parents who are not interested in finance, the best bet is to probably pick a stakeholder that tracks a stock market index. Then you don't need to worry about changing managers affecting performance (it should mirror stock market performance). For parents who are uber-worried about risk then a savings account would be right for them. Either way, you should wade through all the info on this site at thisismoney.co.uk/ctf and check out this nice decision diagram from the Government...
http://www.childtrustfund.gov.uk/Documents/toolkit_leaflet/toolkit%20leaflet%20-%20low%20res.pdf

Happy investing.

- Andrew Oxlade, Editor, This is Money

And a final anecdote, I met Jason Donovan who was also on the programme. It was interesting to hear the chit-chat between him and Sheree (both have appeared in 'I'm a Celebrity...' at different times) and their views on the latest 'celebrity' Big Brother series. My lips are sealed.

Previous blog: My 40% child trust fund return - year one

January 12, 2007

Norwich Union windfalls - the battle begins

January 14, 2007

The battle lines around those policyholders who will, and those who won't get windfalls, if and when Norwich Union successfully distributes its £4 billion 'inherited estate' - are being drawn.

Norwich_union_logo And, if last week's first public policyholders' meeting on the issue is anything to go by, it's going to get bloody.

Windfalls for some Norwich Union with-profits policyholders are in the offing because the insurer's parent company, Aviva, wants to re-distribute a vast pot of £4 billion 'inherited assets'. For more on the background to this, read here.

It's serious money. It could mean big windfalls (that's thousands of pounds) for many of the estimated 1.2 million eligible policyholders.

But it's not yet clear who will get what. Should policyholders who have put the most into their endowments or bonds or pensions, over the longest period of time, collect the biggest windfall as a reward? Or should it be the newer customers, whose future is tied up with Norwich Union for longer, who get the most, because they have the most to lose over time?

The woman who will play a major part in deciding is policyholder Advocate Clare Spottiswoode, pictured. Clarespottiswoode_300x500 Last Wednesday she fielded strings of questions from worried and sceptical policyholders in the first of the five national roadshows that she will conduct this month and next. (For details of how to attend, visit Policyholderadvocate.org)

But you can bet that what was on the top of most policyholders' minds was the money. How much they'd get, and when they'd get it.

For now Spottiswoode's job is relatively easy. She can claim, quite reasonably, that she is listening to all policyholders' points of view. But soon her role will get nastier. She will have to tell some groups of policyholders why she has decided that they ought to get less of a windfall than others.

Policyholders last week asked some difficult questions - to which, in some cases, Spottiswoode didn't have answers. Here are two of the most commonly asked:

"If this £4 billion pot of spare assets has been sitting around for so long, why haven't policyholders been given more, and better, bonuses?"

Spottiswoode didn't absolutely know the answer to this. But the gist of what she said - along with help from an actuary who works with her - was that this £4 billion originated largely from policyholders, now dead, who had not been paid out enough money when their policies matured back in the 1960s and 1970s.

The money hasn't been touched since then because Norwich Union's parent company Aviva needs policyholders' permission to use it. That's what this process is all about. But Spottiswoode later told me that she needs to, and will, establish for sure that the money has not been used at all to date to benefit policyholders.

"How do we know that the money is only worth £4 billion. Mightn't it be even more?"

Good question from someone who evidently knows that insurers are as trustworthy as a rope bridge in an Indiana Jones movie. Spottiswoode said: " Don't worry, I'll check. I'm getting the raw data in March, which is when the numbers haved to be filed to the regulator, and with the help of accountants KPMG I will work out whether £4 billion is correct."

Other policyholders asked less crucial questions, for instance about why the Policyholder Advocate's office employed call centre staff based in India. (The answer to that one, predictably, is that it's cheaper.)

No-one asked who was paying Spottiswoode's wages and other costs or how much it would come to. But since there has been some comment on this in the papers, one of Spottiswoode's colleagues explained that if divided among all the eligible policyholders, the bill for Spottiswoode would come to 23p each. If the deal goes through, policyholders will foot the cost.

Keep your comments and questions coming, using the tools below (your email addresses aren't published, and you can post under any name). The Norwich Union windfalls - which if they come at all will not be paid till much later this year - are going to be good news for a lot of people. But much could go awry between now and then.

Me, my colleagues on Financial Mail and those on Thisismoney will, between us, give you the best coverage you'll find anywhere in print or on the web. So do stay tuned.

- Richard Dyson

January 10, 2007

A new way of watching DVDs

Enjoy watching TV series on DVD? Constantly buying or renting them? Sick of paying massive amounts of money for them? Read on.

Like many people without Sky or Sky+, the future-Mrs-C and I enjoy watching television series on DVD.

The theory is this:

You can be selective.

You watch less TV overall, because you only watch things you want to watch and avoid channel surfing.

You don't miss or forget to record an episode.

You don't get all those annoying commercials.

But this can be pricey. Typically a recent box set of a new TV ser